Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.777368 2.930560 3.090778 3.271382 3.469967 3.682424 3.927916
2025-10-26 2.538800 2.760069 3.003382 3.293045 3.631536 4.018462 4.500002
2025-11-02 2.374165 2.629661 2.919692 3.277580 3.713520 4.235873 4.923011
2025-11-09 2.218829 2.490359 2.805717 3.205251 3.707413 4.331576 5.190246
2025-11-16 2.104107 2.387726 2.723494 3.158572 3.720557 4.442357 5.477248
2025-11-23 2.038917 2.338539 2.699949 3.178836 3.814765 4.659778 5.926102
2025-11-30 1.975826 2.286956 2.668353 3.183718 3.885204 4.846738 6.349002
2025-12-07 1.883057 2.193080 2.577316 3.103569 3.832356 4.853666 6.498701
2025-12-14 1.803150 2.111624 2.497721 3.033019 3.786149 4.863512 6.649777
2025-12-21 1.753068 2.065798 2.461620 3.018132 3.815603 4.984388 6.991007
2025-12-28 1.706946 2.022919 2.426968 3.002459 3.841442 5.099833 7.335227
2026-01-04 1.667844 1.987453 2.400232 2.995658 3.878620 5.234147 7.728247
2026-01-11 1.638278 1.965386 2.393048 3.019750 3.969267 5.471180 8.366052
2026-01-18 1.606325 1.939180 2.379376 3.034170 4.046976 5.696739 9.030238
2026-01-25 1.567461 1.901938 2.348444 3.020872 4.079088 5.846478 9.568844
2026-02-01 1.514703 1.843969 2.286187 2.957530 4.026113 5.840842 9.772779
2026-02-08 1.472446 1.798973 2.240436 2.916596 4.006538 5.892640 10.114625
2026-02-15 1.451303 1.782197 2.233811 2.934373 4.084540 6.130733 10.943176
2026-02-22 1.427287 1.760536 2.219158 2.938653 4.139491 6.330548 11.730011
2026-03-01 1.382266 1.708261 2.158504 2.868299 4.061460 6.262922 11.803595
2026-03-08 1.341809 1.661427 2.104437 2.806249 3.994538 6.211995 11.915574
2026-03-15 1.317544 1.636746 2.081912 2.793141 4.012657 6.334371 12.544886
2026-03-22 1.294249 1.612795 2.059642 2.779335 4.028392 6.453085 13.198325